Early Warning Systems for Identifying Severe Maternal Outcomes in the Who Global Maternal Sepsis Study (2024)

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34 PagesPosted: 15 Aug 2024

See all articles by Yamikani Chimwaza

Yamikani Chimwaza

University of Liverpool

Alexandra Hunt

University of Liverpool

Livia Oliveira-Ciabati

Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein

Laura Bonnett

University of Liverpool

Edgardo Abalos

Centro Rosarino de Estudios Perinatales (CREP)

Cristina Cuesta

Centro Rosarino de Estudios Perinatales (CREP)

João Paulo Souza

University of São Paulo (USP) - Department of Social Medicine; University of São Paulo (USP) - Ribeirão Preto Medical School

Mercedes Bonet

World Health Organization (WHO) - UNDP/UNFPA/UNICEF/WHO/World Bank Special Programme of Research, Development and Research Training in Human Reproduction

Vanessa Brizuela

World Health Organization (WHO) - UNDP/UNFPA/UNICEF/WHO/World Bank Special Programme of Research, Development and Research Training in Human Reproduction

David Lissauer

University of Liverpool; University of Malawi - Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme

More...

Abstract

Background: Infections and sepsis are major killers of women during pregnancy and the post-pregnancy period. Using data from the WHO Global Maternal Sepsis Study, we explored the use of early warning systems (EWS) in women at risk of sepsis-related severe maternal outcomes.

Methods: We searched the literature for EWS in clinical use or research in obstetric populations. We calculated the proportion of women for whom each existing EWS identified them as at risk for developing maternal sepsis by infection severity (complications and severe maternal outcomes). Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative likelihood ratios, diagnostic odds ratios, and J statistics were calculated to assess EWS performance. Machine learning was used to test the diagnostic potential of routine maternal sepsis markers.

Findings: 19 EWS were assessed in 2560 women from 46 countries with suspected or confirmed infections. The UK Sepsis Trust screening tool, Early Maternal Infection Prompts, and maternity Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome scores had high sensitivity (88.1–97.5%) for identifying sepsis-related severe maternal outcomes. The quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment in Pregnancy score and Obstetrically modified SOFA had high specificity (90.4 - 100%) for identifying women with sepsis-related severe maternal outcomes. Furthermore, combinations of sepsis markers had very low sensitivity and high specificity using machine learning.

Interpretation: No score demonstrated enough diagnostic accuracy to be used alone to identify sepsis. However, obstetric—and sepsis-specific EWS performed better for early identification of maternal sepsis than non-obstetric and non-sepsis-specific scoring systems. There are limitations to applying EWS to real-world data, mainly due to the incompleteness of medical data that hinders EWS effectiveness. There is a need to continue developing and testing criteria for early identification of maternal sepsis.

Funding: UNDP-UNFPA-UNICEF-WHO-World Bank Special Programme of Research, Development and Research Training in Human Reproduction (HRP), WHO, Merck for Mothers, US Agency for International Development, Wellcome Trust, and National Institute for Health and Care Research.

Declaration of Interest:The authors declare no competing interests.

Ethical Approval:Ethical approvals were obtained from WHO’s Ethics Review Committee and each participating country according to local regulations.

Keywords: early warning systems, sepsis, maternal sepsis, early identification, diagnostic accuracy

Suggested Citation:Suggested Citation

Chimwaza, Yamikani and Hunt, Alexandra and Oliveira-Ciabati, Livia and Bonnett, Laura and Abalos, Edgardo and Cuesta, Cristina and Souza, João Paulo and Souza, João Paulo and Bonet, Mercedes and Brizuela, Vanessa and Lissauer, David, Early Warning Systems for Identifying Severe Maternal Outcomes in the Who Global Maternal Sepsis Study. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4925470

Yamikani Chimwaza (Contact Author)

University of Liverpool ( email )

Chatham Street
Brownlow Hill
Liverpool, L69 7ZA
United Kingdom

Alexandra Hunt

University of Liverpool ( email )

Livia Oliveira-Ciabati

Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein ( email )

Brazil

Laura Bonnett

University of Liverpool ( email )

Edgardo Abalos

Centro Rosarino de Estudios Perinatales (CREP) ( email )

Rosario
Argentina

Cristina Cuesta

Centro Rosarino de Estudios Perinatales (CREP) ( email )

João Paulo Souza

University of São Paulo (USP) - Department of Social Medicine ( email )

Ribeirão Preto
Brazil

University of São Paulo (USP) - Ribeirão Preto Medical School ( email )

Rua Luciano Gualberto, 315
São Paulo
Brazil

Mercedes Bonet

World Health Organization (WHO) - UNDP/UNFPA/UNICEF/WHO/World Bank Special Programme of Research, Development and Research Training in Human Reproduction ( email )

1211 Geneva 27
Switzerland

Vanessa Brizuela

World Health Organization (WHO) - UNDP/UNFPA/UNICEF/WHO/World Bank Special Programme of Research, Development and Research Training in Human Reproduction ( email )

1211 Geneva 27
Switzerland

David Lissauer

University of Liverpool

Chatham Street
Brownlow Hill
Liverpool, L69 7ZA
United Kingdom

University of Malawi - Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme ( email )

P.O. Box 30096, Chichiri
Blantyre 3, Malawi
Blantyre
Malawi

Early Warning Systems for Identifying Severe Maternal Outcomes in the Who Global Maternal Sepsis Study (2024)

FAQs

What are early warning systems with regards to sepsis recognition? ›

Modified early warning score consists of an early warning system used to detect at-risk patients by assessing clinically detectable signs of SIRS and SOD, assigning scores according to the degree of deviation from normal ranges for each of these parameters.

Who did the global maternal sepsis study? ›

GLOSS, the Global Maternal Sepsis Study, helped quantify the true burden and assess the current management of maternal and neonatal sepsis. The Study looked at how women with infection during pregnancy, childbirth or postpartum, or post-abortion are identified and treated in participating hospitals.

Who guidelines for maternal sepsis? ›

Identification criteria for maternal sepsis cases should be based on the presence of suspected or confirmed infection plus signs of mild to moderate organ dysfunction (e.g. tachycardia, low blood pressure, tachypnoea, altered mental status, reduced urinary output).

What are the biomarkers in maternal sepsis? ›

Sepsis biomarkers can help to identify patients at the early stages of disease and to predict clinical severity and outcomes of a treatment. The biomarkers include white blood cells (WBC), C‐reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT) and lactate (11).

What are the four elements of early warning system? ›

Annotations: Effective “end-to-end” and “people-centred” early warning systems may include four interrelated key elements: (1) disaster risk knowledge based on the systematic collection of data and disaster risk assessments; (2) detection, monitoring, analysis and forecasting of the hazards and possible consequences; ( ...

What are early warning systems used to identify? ›

Early warning systems are commonly used in various fields, which can include: Natural disasters - Earthquakes, tsunamis, hurricanes, floods, landslides, wildfires, and volcanic eruptions. To detect early warning indicators of such disasters, early warning systems rely on monitoring networks, sensors, and data analysis.

What is the most common cause of maternal sepsis? ›

The most common cause is a severe bacterial infection of the uterus during pregnancy or immediately after childbirth. Maternal sepsis could also be caused by a urinary infection, or pneumonia. Pregnant women who have a chronic condition impacting one of their organs are the most at risk from maternal sepsis.

How do you diagnose maternal sepsis? ›

The major physiologic changes seen in pregnancy that will impact a diagnosis of sepsis using the SOFA criteria include a decrease in blood pressure, an increase in heart rate, a decrease in bilirubin and creatinine, and an increase in leukocyte count. These physiologic changes are especially pronounced in labor.

Who statement on maternal sepsis? ›

Maternal sepsis is the third most common cause of maternal mortality. Maternal sepsis is a life-threatening condition that arises when the body's response to infection causes injury to its own tissues and organs during pregnancy, childbirth, post-abortion or the postpartum period.

How to avoid sepsis in pregnancy? ›

Reducing the incidence of maternal sepsis
  1. Be up-to-date on routine vaccinations.
  2. If your doctor recommends an invasive procedure, ask why it is necessary and if there are any non-invasive options.
  3. Reduce the number of vagin*l examinations during labor.
  4. Ask anyone who touches you if they have washed their hands first.
Apr 23, 2018

What factors are associated with maternal sepsis? ›

The factors associated with maternal sepsis in our review are partly in accordance with a review of the literature in other systematic reviews in 2009 and 2022 (27, 77), where the risk factors identified were intrapartum maternal fever, multiple vagin*l examinations, foul-smelling vagin*l discharge, prematurity, ...

What are maternal risk factors for early onset sepsis? ›

Other factors that are associated with or predispose to early-onset sepsis include the following [18, 19] :
  • Low Apgar score (< 6 at 1 or 5 minutes)
  • Poor prenatal care.
  • Poor maternal nutrition.
  • Low socioeconomic status.
  • Black mother.
  • History of recurrent abortion.
  • Maternal substance abuse.
  • Low birth weight.
Jun 13, 2019

What are the 4 markers of sepsis? ›

Initially, sepsis was defined in 1991 as infection or suspected infection leading to the onset of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) where SIRS was defined as the presence of any two out of four criteria-tachycardia (heart rate > 90/min), tachypnoea (respiratory rate > 20 breaths per min), fever or ...

What bacteria is in maternal sepsis? ›

Group B streptococcus (GBS) and herpes simplex virus (HSV) are common causes of neonatal sepsis. The good news is that there are ways to lower the risk of developing maternal and neonatal sepsis, including: Preventing and treating infections during pregnancy. Getting screened for GBS and HSV during pregnancy.

What is the most prevalent pathogen in maternal sepsis? ›

The causes of maternal sepsis include obstetric and non-obstetric causes. Maternal sepsis may also be from obstetrical critical illness. The most commonly reported pathogens in maternal sepsis include E. coli, Streptococcus, Staphylococcus, and other gram-negative bacteria.

What are the alert systems for sepsis? ›

Findings In this systematic review and meta-analysis including 22 studies of 19 580 patients, sepsis alert systems were associated with lower mortality, a shorter hospital stay, and improved sepsis-bundle adherence, notably in terms of shorter time to fluid administration, blood culture, antibiotic administration, and ...

What are the early warning signs of sepsis? ›

An adult or older child has any of these symptoms of sepsis: acting confused, slurred speech or not making sense. blue, grey, pale or blotchy skin, lips or tongue – on brown or black skin, this may be easier to see on the palms of the hands or soles of the feet.

What is the early warning system for infectious diseases? ›

WHO's Early Warning, Alert and Response System (EWARS) is designed to improve disease outbreak detection in emergency settings, such as in countries in conflict or following a natural disaster. It is a simple and cost-effective way to rapidly set up a disease surveillance system.

What is early sepsis recognition? ›

Early signs of sepsis may include tachycardia, hypotension, abnormal temperature, tachypnea with a respiratory alkalosis, abnormal leukocyte count (with left shift), bandemia, thrombocytopenia, or elevated lactate level (4). An elevated procalcitonin would further support the diagnosis of sepsis (5).

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